pappap
@user_8c3b7d82joined Apr 2026All-time P&L
+0
Predictions
4
Win rate
75%
Brier
0.250
Track record
Brier score measures forecast accuracy — lower is better. Perfect forecaster scores 0, coin-flip scores 0.25, maximum miss scores 1.
| Market | Side | Outcome | Stake | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
GBP/USD Will GBP/USD be above 1.3600 OR below 1.3550 at 2026-05-08 12:00 UTC? | yes | yes · won | 100 | +100 |
Gold Will gold be above 4,725 OR below 4,700 at 23:00 UTC? | yes | yes · won | 100 | +0 |
Gold Will gold be above 4,750 OR below 4,725 at 14:00 UTC? | yes | no · lost | 100 | -100 |
BTC/USD Will Bitcoin be above 81,000 OR below 80,500 at 13:00 UTC? | yes | yes · won | 100 | +0 |
Forecasts are play-money skill predictions. Past performance does not predict future results.
